Nobody likes a good prediction more than we do here at Buckeyes Wire, and in fact, we get into it ourselves as well when the time comes and will throughout the 2025 Ohio State and college football season.
But if you’ve followed us at all, you know we like to check in on what the ESPN “Matchup Predictor” says about the probability of Ohio State winning each game on its schedule on a weekly basis. The ESPN computers always adjusts things after the latest slate of games, and we like to check in each time.
The Buckeyes had one whale of a win against No. 1 Texas on Saturday, so you would think that things are even more favorable than what we saw upon the initial release of these projected percentage chances of winning each game on the regular-season schedule. Did things stay the same with Ohio State’s chances of running the rest of the schedule after ESPN’s metrics were wrong about the Longhorns winning? Which way did things move with Michigan, Penn State, and Oregon?
Here’s what ESPN’s “Matchup Predictor” says about Ohio State and its chances of winning the remainder of every game left on the regular season schedule in 2025. We include games already played and the results, which in this case is just the Week 1 victory over Texas.
Aug 30, 2025; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Jeremiah Smith (4) makes a catch against Texas Longhorns defensive back Malik Muhammad (5) in the first half at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-Imagn Images
Aug 30, 2025; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Jeremiah Smith (4) makes a catch against Texas Longhorns defensive back Malik Muhammad (5) in the first half at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-Imagn Images